ubq323

theoretically i am in charge here. message me on discord or xmpp if something serious happens

my web site

— ubq323

joined
a very long time ago

recent posts

ubq323 #3523

i'm not sure why i said 'again'.

ubq323 #3513

you could potentially add more content to your site. this might speed up the council's decision a bit.

ubq323 (edited ) #3508

Nathan777 chooses 7.77.

razetime chooses 2.5.

the distance is thus 5.27, which is greater than 5, and so the lowest answer, razetime wins!!

there is a winner 🎉 🎉 🎉 🎉 🎉 🎉 🎉

ubq323 #3461

yes, in the same way that in decimal, each digit from the right corresponds to the next highest power of ten, in binary each digit from the right corresponds to the next highest power of two. this is true of any base.

ubq323 (edited ) #3441

Nathan777 chooses 7.51, again.

quintopia chooses 5.147102625.

the distance is less than 5, so the highest guesser Nathan77 wins the match!

THE FINAL

here is the current tournament bracket:

the FINAL shall be between razetime and Nathan777. i imagine both competitors will be looking carefully at their opponents' previous guesses, in order to exploit any patterns they may be able to spot. in fact i encourage them both to explain, in great detail, in this thread about how exactly they are each going to choose their guess for the FINAL.

here are some additional observations:

  • both of the finalists played their first match in round 2, rather than round 1.
  • up to this point, all matches except one have ended with a distance of less than 5, meaning the highest guess has won
  • the image quality of my tournament bracket drawings has declined steadily since the beginning of this competition, due to poor lighting
  • 13 of all 17 submitted guesses (that's 76%) have had an integer part that is odd; only 4 have been even.
  • the largest ever guess is 10, and the smallest ever guess is 0.
  • the mean guess is about 5.598. the standard deviation of the guesses is about 3.131.
  • the median guess is 5.147, the lower quartile guess is 3.142, and the upper quartile guess is 7.510.
  • there isn't a unique mode - 3, 10, pi, and 7.51 have each been submitted twice, and all other submitted guesses are unique.
  • here is a box plot:

good luck to both the finalists !

ubq323 #3430

trimill chooses sqrt(2) + sqrt(3) + sqrt(5) ≈ 5.38

razetime chooses 9.9999999

the distance is less than 5, so the highest guess wins this match, which is razetime!

(i don't have my notebook with me at the moment so you will have to imagine the bracket)

next match is quintopia vs Nathan777. good luck!

ubq323 #3428

test 12345 bee bee beee bee bee

ubq323 #3427

it looks like the discord webhook stopped working for a little bit, i don't know why. discord webhooks and apionet webhooks both seem to be working again now.

ubq323 #3417

this is utterly me when the web is hook

ubq323 #3413

aha i forgot to enable the. thetehtehtehtehtehtehthe . this is a post on the apio forum. the.

ubq323 #3412

testing 1234 hahahahaha bees (bees)

ubq323 #3411

round 2 results

sinthorion chose 0, and trimill chose e-1 (≈ 1.72). distance < 5 so the highest guesser, trimill, wins

razetime chose 5 and citrons chose 10. distance ≥ 5 so the lowest guesser, razetime, wins.

Nathan777 chose 7.51 and kit chose the same value as last time, roughly equal to pi. distance < 5 so highest guesser, Nathan777, wins.

John Travolta did not submit anything, so quintopia's choice of 50cos(e^e^e) (≈ 9.45) automatically proceeds to the next round.

current bracket:

semifinal

from here on i will run each match separately. the first match of this round is trimill vs razetime. good luck!

ubq323 #3410

that's reasonable

ubq323 #3406

presently, 'john travolta', but they don't seem to be responding on anything. i would end this round now actually but i'm not at home atm and i don't have my notebook with me

ubq323 #3404

yes. i am still waiting for guesses.

ubq323 #3397

i have not had much time recently, i will try to submit mine by tomorrow. sorry

ubq323 #3392

if you want your application to proceed faster you should add more content to your site

ubq323 #3367

I mean, no, the number you guess doesn't have to be an integer. it can be any real number between 0 and 10 inclusive that I can compare with the other person's guess. two of the guesses in the previous round (including your own) are nonintegers, so this should be somewhat evident already

ubq323 #3366

what?

ubq323 #3364

ok!

round 1 results

taswelll chose 3, and trimill chose 6ln(2) (≈ 4.16). distance < 5 so the highest guesser, trimill, wins

jmibo chose 7 and citrons chose 10. distance < 5 so the highest guesser, citrons, wins.

kit sent me what appears to be the first ~10 million digits of pi (though i only checked the first few thousand digits). if you want, you can view the full 10MB txt file. mb guessed 3. distance < 5 so the highest guesser, kit wins.

round 2

current tournament bracket:

i will run this round in parallel as well, but i probably won't do that any more after this one. therefore i need guesses from all of these people:

  • sinthorion
  • trimill
  • razetime
  • citrons
  • Nathan777
  • kit
  • John Travolta
  • quintopia
ubq323 #3360

i now have guesses from everyone except jmibo, and also a mystery email from someone who didn't include their name. it seems reasonable to assume the mystery emailer is jmibo but i would like them to confirm. jmibo, please confirm whether you are the mystery emailer.

ubq323 #3346

ok

ubq323 (edited ) #3345

i currently have number guesses from taswelll, trimill, citrons, and kit. so i still need one from jmibo and mb.

ubq323 #3344

thank you

ubq323 #3342

i have randomly sorted the list, and here is the tournament bracket:

i think that i will run the first round in parallel. therefore i need the first number guess from these people:

  • taswelll
  • trimill
  • jmibo
  • citrons
  • kit
  • mb

privately send your number guess to me via discord dm, email, xmpp, or anything else that i will see.

ubq323 #3341

final participant list:

  • quintopia
  • razetime
  • john travolta
  • trimill
  • taswelll
  • sinthorion
  • Nathan777
  • kit
  • mb
  • citrons
  • jmibo
ubq323 #3339

i don't think she uses apioforum much. she's still like around though

ubq323 #3337

nothing?